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The policy-making FOMC repeated today that it’s likely to “reduce the pace of asset purchases in further measured steps” and that it expects rates to stay low for a “considerable time” after the bond-buying ends.
Rate Forecasts
Updating their economic forecasts, Fed officials predicted their target interest rate will be 1.13 percent at the end of 2015 and 2.5 percent a year later, higher than previously forecast. They lowered their long-run estimated rate to 3.75 percent from 4 percent, reflecting slower long-term growth for the U.S. economy. Fed participants estimated long-term growth at 2.1 percent to 2.3 percent, compared with 2.2 percent to 2.3 percent in March.
Stocks were little changed after the Fed announcement, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 index rising less than 0.1 percent to 1,942.78 as of 2:08 p.m. in New York. Ten-year Treasury yields fell one basis point to 2.64 percent.
The Fed repeated that inflation “has been running below the committee’s longer-run objective, but longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.”
The personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, rose 1.6 percent from a year earlier in April, the most since November 2012. The consumer price index, a separate inflation measure, rose 2.1 percent in May.