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13.10.2008: i98mark
Struttura finanziaria di GDF Suez ed allocazione del debito... i commenti di S&P
GDF SUEZ S.A.'s €10 Billion EMTN Program Assigned 'A' Rating
PARIS (Standard & Poor's) Oct. 7, 2008--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services
said today that it has assigned its 'A' long-term unsecured debt rating to the
€10 billion EMTN program of GDF SUEZ S.A. (A/Positive/A-1).
The rating reflects that although GDF SUEZ will no longer use GIE Suez
Alliance, the group's unsecured long-term debt will not be subordinated. This
is because the group's strategy is to centralize funding at the level of GDF
SUEZ S.A., the group's top holding company, and because GDF SUEZ S.A. has substantial downstream loans to operating companies, especially to the large and highly valuable French regulated gas transmission and distribution
operations, which have limited third-party liabilities.
That said, GDF SUEZ intends to retain significant debt at the level of Electrabel, the Belgian power incumbent, which is negative from a structural subordination standpoint.
The group plans to centralize financial debt issuance at the level of GDF
SUEZ S.A. GDF SUEZ S.A. is thus the issuer under the group's two commercial paper programs of €5 billion and $3 billion. Likewise, GDF SUEZ S.A. will be the main issuer under the €10 billion EMTN program. While Belgian power incumbent Electrabel can also be an issuer under the EMTN program with a guarantee from GDF SUEZ S.A., we understand that it will seldom be used and only for very limited amounts. All additional debt--which is likely to be substantial in light of the group's large investment program--will be issued
at the level of GDF SUEZ S.A.
The group also intends to gradually refinance about €3.2 billion of financial debt currently sitting at operating companies.This amount excludes project finance and nonrecourse debt outside Europe of about €3.4 billion as well as the debt of 35%-owned Suez Environnement, which we exclude for the purpose of this analysis.
As a result of the increased centralization of the group's funding, GDF
SUEZ S.A. will increase its documented downstream loans to its operating
subsidiaries. GDF SUEZ S.A. already funds in particular its regulated French
transmission and distribution subsidiaries. At end-June 2008, GDF S.A.'s
funding of these companies, which GDF SUEZ S.A. has taken over, stood at €5.6 billion. The French transmission and distribution businesses have no external financial debt, limited other external liabilities, and substantial regulated asset bases.
To optimize Electrabel's balance sheet structure and reduce its tax base
in Belgium, GDF SUEZ intends, however, to maintain a significant amount of
financial debt at the level of Electrabel and Belgelec, a funding vehicle that
is a subsidiary of Electrabel. This is negative from a structural subordination perspective as such debt is closer to the Electrabel assets than debt at GDF SUEZ S.A. is.
Moreover, a large share of the Electrabel/Belgelec debt benefits from a guarantee from GDF SUEZ S.A. through a guarantee from the GIE Suez Alliance. However, GDF SUEZ plans to reduce Electrabel/Belgelec debt
in the coming months to about €5 billion, from €8.6 billion in June 2008 (out
of GDF SUEZ's consolidated gross debt of €28 billion). It will do this through
intercompany refinancing, which should create some direct claims for GDF SUEZ' debtholders on Electrabel's assets.
Moreover, out of Belgelec's €3.5 billion of bonds, €1.7 billion mature in 2009 and another €650 million in 2010.The Belgelec bonds rank senior to GDF SUEZ debt with respect to Electrabel's assets: This reflects that the proceeds of these bonds have been on-lent to Electrabel, thus giving Belgelec priority access to Electrabel's assets.
Moreover, these bonds benefit from a de facto guarantee from GDF Suez
S.A. Nevertheless, we don't consider that the GDF SUEZ bonds are so
subordinated as to warrant notching down, given the centralization of the rest of the group's funding, the diversity of the group, and existence of large
intercompany loans, especially those to the regulated gas companies.
La parte in grassetto ti spiega anche perché l'investimento in Belgelec Suez è anch'esso da considerarsi safe per gli obbligazionisti, se valutato rispetto alla "vicinanza" agli asset del gruppo.
---
14.10.2008: i98mark
Struttura finanziaria di GDF Suez ed allocazione del debito... i commenti di S&P
GDF SUEZ S.A.'s €10 Billion EMTN Program Assigned 'A' Rating
PARIS (Standard & Poor's) Oct. 7, 2008--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services
said today that it has assigned its 'A' long-term unsecured debt rating to the
€10 billion EMTN program of GDF SUEZ S.A. (A/Positive/A-1).
The rating reflects that although GDF SUEZ will no longer use GIE Suez
Alliance, the group's unsecured long-term debt will not be subordinated. This
is because the group's strategy is to centralize funding at the level of GDF
SUEZ S.A., the group's top holding company, and because GDF SUEZ S.A. has substantial downstream loans to operating companies, especially to the large and highly valuable French regulated gas transmission and distribution
operations, which have limited third-party liabilities.
That said, GDF SUEZ intends to retain significant debt at the level of Electrabel, the Belgian power incumbent, which is negative from a structural subordination standpoint.
The group plans to centralize financial debt issuance at the level of GDF
SUEZ S.A. GDF SUEZ S.A. is thus the issuer under the group's two commercial paper programs of €5 billion and $3 billion. Likewise, GDF SUEZ S.A. will be the main issuer under the €10 billion EMTN program. While Belgian power incumbent Electrabel can also be an issuer under the EMTN program with a guarantee from GDF SUEZ S.A., we understand that it will seldom be used and only for very limited amounts. All additional debt--which is likely to be substantial in light of the group's large investment program--will be issued
at the level of GDF SUEZ S.A.
The group also intends to gradually refinance about €3.2 billion of financial debt currently sitting at operating companies.This amount excludes project finance and nonrecourse debt outside Europe of about €3.4 billion as well as the debt of 35%-owned Suez Environnement, which we exclude for the purpose of this analysis.
As a result of the increased centralization of the group's funding, GDF
SUEZ S.A. will increase its documented downstream loans to its operating
subsidiaries. GDF SUEZ S.A. already funds in particular its regulated French
transmission and distribution subsidiaries. At end-June 2008, GDF S.A.'s
funding of these companies, which GDF SUEZ S.A. has taken over, stood at €5.6 billion. The French transmission and distribution businesses have no external financial debt, limited other external liabilities, and substantial regulated asset bases.
To optimize Electrabel's balance sheet structure and reduce its tax base
in Belgium, GDF SUEZ intends, however, to maintain a significant amount of
financial debt at the level of Electrabel and Belgelec, a funding vehicle that
is a subsidiary of Electrabel. This is negative from a structural subordination perspective as such debt is closer to the Electrabel assets than debt at GDF SUEZ S.A. is.
Moreover, a large share of the Electrabel/Belgelec debt benefits from a guarantee from GDF SUEZ S.A. through a guarantee from the GIE Suez Alliance. However, GDF SUEZ plans to reduce Electrabel/Belgelec debt
in the coming months to about €5 billion, from €8.6 billion in June 2008 (out
of GDF SUEZ's consolidated gross debt of €28 billion). It will do this through
intercompany refinancing, which should create some direct claims for GDF SUEZ' debtholders on Electrabel's assets.
Moreover, out of Belgelec's €3.5 billion of bonds, €1.7 billion mature in 2009 and another €650 million in 2010.The Belgelec bonds rank senior to GDF SUEZ debt with respect to Electrabel's assets: This reflects that the proceeds of these bonds have been on-lent to Electrabel, thus giving Belgelec priority access to Electrabel's assets.
Moreover, these bonds benefit from a de facto guarantee from GDF Suez
S.A. Nevertheless, we don't consider that the GDF SUEZ bonds are so
subordinated as to warrant notching down, given the centralization of the rest of the group's funding, the diversity of the group, and existence of large
intercompany loans, especially those to the regulated gas companies.
La parte in grassetto ti spiega anche perché l'investimento in Belgelec Suez è anch'esso da considerarsi safe per gli obbligazionisti, se valutato rispetto alla "vicinanza" agli asset del gruppo.
---
14.10.2008: i98mark
E' anche molto lungo ... se è un parte contenuta della tua esposizione di portafoglio sulle durate lunghe, allora è accettabile... in questo momento è meglio sottopesare durate di questo tipo, IMHO... la società è una sorta di Terna britannica... forse distribuisce qualche utile di troppo agli azionisti, ma per il resto...
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